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Prediction and thoughts of the Wenchuan large earthquake

Geng Qingguo

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6, Pages 123-128

Abstract:

According to many years of earthquake prediction exploring work basedon analysis of drought -earthquake relations and ordered strong earthquake activities and the methodthe Sichuan Abazhou area, and revealed the main points of the "Urgent advice to enhance strong earthquakeshort-term/imminent monitoring and analysis prediction contingency work for the Sichuan-Gansu-Qinghai-Shaanxi

Keywords： Wenchuan Large Earthquake prediction drought-earthquake relations strong earthquake activities order

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The phenomena based on the before Wenchuan Earthquake, the characteristic of large scale and deep layeron dynamic force of earthquake occurrence has been recognized

Xu Shaoxie

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6, Pages 16-18

Abstract:

The characteristic of large scale and deep layer on dynamic force ofWenchuan Earthquake occurrence has been recognized.The seismicity before Wenchuan Earthquake of May 12, 2008 has been studied, by using the data from 1977activity enhanced in deep layer, are important phenomena before Wenchuan Earthquake.on information of large scale and deep layer.

Keywords： Wenchuan Earthquake the characteristic of large scale and deep layer on dynamic force of earthquakeoccurrence earthquake prediction

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The scientific faith that earthquake is predictable should be insisted—the successful prediction of threestrong aftershocks of Wenchuan Earthquake

Wang Chengmin

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6, Pages 107-110

Abstract: This question has been discussed a lot by earthquake researchers and common people after the WenchuanEarthquake.The specialists in Chinese Earthquake Prediction Consultation Committee started the aftershockprediction research after the earthquake to support emergency rescue and disaster relief with practicalaction.From May 15 to August 15, the committee formally reported prediction results for 3 times andshould think over the fact that the prediction of all three aftershocks was correct without any miss

Keywords： Wenchuan Earthquake aftershock of Wenchuan Earthquake earthquake short -impending prediction

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Pondering over the scientific thinking of earthquake prediction from the miss report of Wenchuan Earthquake—re-discussingLi Siguang’s earthquake prediction thought

Zhao Wenjin

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6, Pages 4-15

Abstract:

According to the experience and problems of seismic monitoring and earthquakeprediction for many years in China, it was discussed the earthquake mechanism, preliminary methods forprediction research and the mechanism and miss report of Wenchuan Earthquake, analyzed prediction precursorof short-term and impending earthquake, seismometry application limitation and ground stress transferand track, and put forward 9 suggestions for future earthquake prediction.

Keywords： Wenchuan Earthquake earthquake prediction ground stress Li Siguang

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Earthquakes in the north block of Tibet-Plateau and retrospect of prediction for Wenchuan M8.0 Earthquake

Men Kepei

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6, Pages 82-88

Abstract: According to the information prediction theory of Weng Wenbo and self-organization network technology, we try to explore the practical method for strong earthquake prediction with Chinese characteristicsBased on this, the 2008 Wenchuan M 8.0 great earthquake was predicted and M≥7 strong earthquakes willMeanwhile, the cause of formation about Wenchuan Earthquake has been discussed primarily.This method has a unique effect on mid-and-long term prediction for strong earthquake.

Keywords： the north block of Tibet Plateau informational orderly network structure the great Wenchuan Earthquake strong earthquake prediction

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The dawn of successful prediction of major earthquakes

Li Ping and Yang Mei’e

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6, Pages 19-27

Abstract: recent 20 years, however, some seismologists abroad have taken a disappointed and pessimistic view to earthquakeprediction because of several failures.They suggest that the efforts should turn toward other fields, such as identification of building’s earthquake-proofinfluence some Chinese researchers of the seismological community who attempted to give up efforts for earthquakeprediction.

Keywords： Wenchuan Earthquake strong earthquake prediction microseism generating fault

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Review on the prediction before the Wenchuan Earthquake

Guo Zengjian,Guo Anning

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6, Pages 166-168

Abstract: : justify;">According to the index of solar activity we predicted in 2006 that during 2007 ~2008 an earthquakeM >7 will possibly occur in segment between Tianshui and Kangding.Based on the flood-earthquake chainalong the latitude circle of 30°,we predicted in the end of 2007 that an earthquake M6 ~7 will possibly

Keywords： earthquake prediction valley of solar activity flood-earthquake chain

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Features of seismic hazard in large dam projects and strong motion monitoring of large dams

Martin WIELAND,

Frontiers of Structural and Civil Engineering 2010, Volume 4, Issue 1, Pages 56-64 doi: 10.1007/s11709-010-0005-6

Abstract: Earthquakes can affect large dam projects in many different ways.The May 12, 2008 Wenchuan earthquake has damaged 1803 dams and reservoirs, and 403 hydropower plantsThe earthquake behaviors of the Sefid Rud, Zipingpu and Shapai dams, which, in the past, have experiencedFinally, the need for strong motion instrumentation of large dams is discussed.It is proposed that major dams with large damage potential, dams located in areas of high seismicity,

Keywords： hazard arch dam concrete face rockfill dam strong motion instrumentation reservoir-triggered seismicity Wenchuanearthquake

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Rethinking of geological disaster control at the anniversary of the Wenchuan Earthquake

Lu Yaoru

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6, Pages 36-43

Abstract:

The big Wenchuan Earthquake has passed for a year, but the huge disastercaused by the earthquake cannot be forgotten yet.The scientific development view should be better carried out and the earthquake mechanism should be analyzed

Keywords： Wenchuan Earthquake the earthquake history of Chuan-Dian area geological disaster earthquake mechanism

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Scientific inspirations of emergency rescue in the Wenchuan Earthquake

Xu Deshi

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6, Pages 100-106

Abstract: have been received based on the study of anti -seismic relief practice in the major disaster of the WenchuanEarthquake which shocks the whole world.These inspirations are as follows:saving lives is the firstSeizing these inspirations, persisting in puting people first, perfecting the construction of earthquake

Keywords： Wenchuan Earthquake earthquake emergency rescue scientific revelation

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Lessons learnt from the great Sichuan Wenchuan Earthquake

Xie Lili

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6, Pages 28-35

Abstract: text-align: justify;">This paper presents the major lessons learnt from the recently occurred devastating earthquakeof May 12, 2008 in the Wenchuan County, Sichuan Province.It discussed some bottle-neck questions existing in the current earthquake disaster prevention work ofinduced geological hazard, and earthquake prediction etc., and pointed out that the civil engineeringprevention method is the best choice for the solution of reducing earthquake losses and mitigating earthquake

Keywords： Wenchuan Earthquake earthquake prevention and mitigation prevention first civil engineeringThoughts on

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Consideration on seismic safety of dams in China after the Wenchuan Earthquake

Chen Houqun

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6, Pages 44-53

Abstract: of dams, especially for the 4 dams with a height over 100 m, in the area affected by the devastative WenchuanEarthquake on May 12, are briefly described.The strategic priority of dam safety for large dam in China and the corresponding tactics to overcome

Keywords： Wenchuan Earthquake safety of dams reservoir earthquake strategic priority

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The influence of Wenchuan Earthquake on Puguang Gas Field development

Ge Hongkui,Shen Chen,Song Lili,Wang Xiaoqiong

Strategic Study of CAE 2010, Volume 12, Issue 10, Pages 103-107

Abstract: text-align: justify;">Well casings of Puguang Gas Field took place abnormal deformation before and after WenchuanEarthquake, but the conventional theory was unable to explain it.By seismicity and seismic load analysis, it was concluded that Wenchuan Earthquake was an important factor

Keywords： earthquake load oilfield production Wenchuan Earthquake Puguang Gas Field well casing deformation

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Short-term and impending precursor of sand layer stress in Wenchuan Earthquake

Wang Baoyu,Tong Xiaohui,Sun Xiaoming ,Sun Wei

Strategic Study of CAE 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6, Pages 146-152

Abstract:

An earthquake preparation physical model was established based on observationdata of sand layer stress instrument in Changping and Xiji, Beijing, earthquake precursor in the past30 years observed by this instrument and precursor of Indonesia Earthquake (M =8.7) on December 26,2004.The short-term and impending precursor of Wenchuan Earthquake recorded by the sand layer stressinfrared and other testing methods in the aspect of time, had very obvious characters of impending earthquake

Keywords： Wenchuan Earthquake sand layer stress instrument earthquake preparation physical model of sand layerstress impending earthquake signal

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Necessity of integrated methodology for hazard mitigation of quake lakes: case study of the WenchuanEarthquake, China

Xudong FU, Fan LIU, Guangqian WANG, Wenjie XU, Jianxin ZHANG

Frontiers of Structural and Civil Engineering 2011, Volume 5, Issue 1, Pages 1-10 doi: 10.1007/s11709-011-0099-5

Abstract: The massive 8.0-magnitude Wenchuan Earthquake triggered huge landslides, avalanches, and debris flows

Keywords： quake lake hazard mitigation dam failure emergency Tangjiashan

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Title Author Date Type Operation

Prediction and thoughts of the Wenchuan large earthquake

Geng Qingguo

Journal Article

The phenomena based on the before Wenchuan Earthquake, the characteristic of large scale and deep layeron dynamic force of earthquake occurrence has been recognized

Xu Shaoxie

Journal Article

The scientific faith that earthquake is predictable should be insisted—the successful prediction of threestrong aftershocks of Wenchuan Earthquake

Wang Chengmin

Journal Article

Pondering over the scientific thinking of earthquake prediction from the miss report of Wenchuan Earthquake—re-discussingLi Siguang’s earthquake prediction thought

Zhao Wenjin

Journal Article

Earthquakes in the north block of Tibet-Plateau and retrospect of prediction for Wenchuan M8.0 Earthquake

Men Kepei

Journal Article

The dawn of successful prediction of major earthquakes

Li Ping and Yang Mei’e

Journal Article

Review on the prediction before the Wenchuan Earthquake

Guo Zengjian,Guo Anning

Journal Article

Features of seismic hazard in large dam projects and strong motion monitoring of large dams